well the gulf of mexico will be a bigger player from late sept thru the month of Oct. It will bring alot of rain for northern and eastern gulf coast states. Bermuda high has been mostly over the mid atlantic states and at times non existant with Azores high being stronger then normal. With this affect, only 2 cape verdes will surface up in Sept,, 1 of these will threaten the NE Windwards and Puerto Rico and Bahamas. Other will turn up E of Bermuda. Also with more of a el Nino affect coming into Oct and the winter season a more southern jet will come into affect in early oct pushing moisture and system up from the western carribean. I also expect one of the first cold fronts in later Oct to turn into a system and head across S florida later in the month. Overall still around 7-8 storms and 3 hurricanes, 1 severe maybe 2.
Watch this pattern develop in the next 2 weeks just after labor day. scottsvb hurricaneupdatecenter