last night trouble areas were SE coast, 45w wave, SW caribbean. add another.. the wave passing 60w. it's still under the TUTT jet, but has a decent mid level signature and should eventually move out from under the shear and begin to slow down near the bahamas later this week.
with mjo apparently having flipped, all of the central and eastern pacific activity should correllate with altantic activity before the week is out.
and as bastardi has been saying.. the ridge position has us in a strike pattern.
coastal low near nc associated with the upper feature over the southeast is probably the most immediate development candidate.. though not necessarily tropical. will see.
HF 1540z26august