the 00z ssd analyis of 92L put it at d2.0. thats a 30kt depression, if theyre on the money.
it is a pretty circular little system, just a continuous little mass of convection with a turning in the low cloud field below. if theyre playing this one safe though, i dont mind a great deal. they can always post analyze it and get it right. interested to see if ship reports in the area are confirming the satelite estimates.
other areas in the basin look less imposing at this hour. the convective cycles are still more or less doing what theyve done year round.. active morning and afternoon, dead evening and overnight.
HF 0218z29august