Deep convection now forming around the center of the Wave near 9/31, but this rotation still seems elongated from SW to NE. I agree that this is a TD, but not Dolly yet. Still subsidence to it's north, but should improve during the day as moisture is wrapping in around the NE side. Again, good burst of convection near the center, and yes today is the day. Read Joe B's column this morning; don't agree we have a storm yet but will soon. Don't agree either that any development in the bahamas will be at the florida coast on the wave as it pushes into the coast tonight. I do believe that the area near 25N/65W will be the spot to watch, as convection is rebuilding, and this is the persistent area. Again, development may not occur, but I believe Joe is looking at the wrong area. The ridge along the east will collapse as the low over GA backs westward and the ridge axis (bermuda high) noses into the Ga coast this weekend, per NCEP discussion. This will keep whatever develops (if) near the Bahamas, not the Carolinas. And again it will move slowly. Cheers! Steve H. PS: Need to keep watching the SW Carib; it may develop, but I have no idea where it might go if it does -- probably get trapped down there for a while...shear has lessened though.