The system everyone was watching in the eastern Atlantic, is now Tropical Depression #4. It's moving west northwest at 16 mph, and is expected to strengthen. We will be keeping a close eye out on this one.

5:00 PM Update: HELLO DOLLY

7PM Update by Mike C:
Tropical Storm Dolly is moving westward (wnw) now and will continue on this trek for a few days. It's a bit too early to determine if it will be a fish spinner or not so we'll wait a bit longer. As of now I think it has a chance at a run toward the NE Caribbean islands, but (as one would figure) just as much or more of it moving away. This is all several days out, so we'll have time to watch it.

The System north of the Bahamas isn't looking as good tonight. It probably won't develop and may cause a bunch of rain for us later. Still, we will watch it, as things could change.

The system in the Caribbean could strengthen slowly, Aircraft Recon is being sent to it later on.

Areas of interest are marked below by John's annotated image:

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [john@flhurricane.com]