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add another invest, nrl put one up for the sw caribbean system. 25kt/1007mb. however, sat pics have me thinking that a possible sfc low is west of the convection. uncertain. convection with the 25/65 disturbance is blooming again and still has that fanned look, see if it can get a surface feature going today. models all have td 4 screwed up, gfdl has been taking it northwest immediately for days. shearing environment after 48hr or so gets sort of iffy. just have to watch and see. HF 1614z29august |