| Unregistered User |
| (Unregistered) |
| Thu Aug 29 2002 04:21 PM |
Re: Tropical Depression #4
|
I wouldn't bank on TD Four's long-term prospects. The AVN, NOGAPS, and MRF all show the persistence of an upper-level trough to its northwest through at least 72 hours. Assuming this system continues tracking WNW, it will probably get picked up by the upper-low. At the very least, it will encounter strong westerly shear.
So in the final analysis, I wouldn't be surprised if it recurves well east of the Antilles. Of course, nature is full of surprises, but this is the way I think things look for now.