Shawn ought to appreciate this - but don't get yer hopes up too high. Nearly every model on the potential genesis site develops a low which moves into the central TX coast at the end of the run period. Early indications are that it would be at most a Tropical Storm, but could bring some 5-8" rainfall if it plays out. It will either be the E or F storm if it develops. Now where does it come from?

a) SW Caribbean?
b) surface low in Central GoM?
c) wave in eastern Gulf?
d) something lifting out of Boc?
e) Combination of SOME of the Above?

I'm not that good. But when 5 or 6 models show you something similar, it's at least a 40/60 bet that something is going to happen. Could it be further SW or NE? That's anyone's guess, but the idea is out there.

Steve