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The more advisories the NHC puts out, the more they are leaning towards a WESTward track...not a WNW track. Now the models are split between the two tracks. I do not think that I would be so quick to call this one a "fishspinner". If it continues on this track, then Dolly will more than likely intensify as it will be in a more favorable environment than they thought it would be earlier. Also, as the NHC has discussed, it stays ON this Westward track for the next 72 hours, it may just bring it closer to the US. All of this is up in the air as far as the models are; however, for right now all we have to do is LOOK at Dolly to see which direction she is headed. I think the models will be more important down the road as (and IF) she approaches any land areas. I just think it's too early for the models to really give an accurate track at this point. |