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nrl has put up an invest on the system east of florida at 27/74. it's headed north of due west, looks like. convection today is going strong and focused, low level windfield is more distorted away from the convection today. probably a go right on our doorstep. dolly looks smaller, since it has shrunken in areal coverage the WNW movement is obvious. some globals that recurve it are killing dolly as a system, entraining the energy in another system near bermuda, sending that west. be interesting to see if dolly can negotiate the shear that lies 24-48hr ahead. disturbance in NW caribbean is just brewing convection at this point. W gulf low is essentially unchanged, moving west along 26N. former 93L in the caribbean is over in the eastpac looking like it wants to be hernan's sister. wave about to leave africa still looks good and bundled, probably an invest tomorrow. bastardi also mentioned a trouble area near the southern leewards, but i didnt notice it. HF 1421z31august |