Dolly is going to dissipate by Monday at the latest for one reason we do know, and one reason we don't. The reason we do know was caused by the one that is being debated. Dolly has shrunk to a very small and tighthly wound system, making it very prone to shear and dry air in the middle of the Atlantic. Dolly may strengthen more over the next 24 hours, but more likely it will stand pat. After that, the upper-level trough will meet it and Dolly will dissipate. There is a small chance that regeneration could occur further north. Also, recent QuikSCAT imagery indicated winds no higher than 35 knots and no closed circulation, thus, Dolly may already be degenerated into a tropical wave. All intrests in the extreme northern Lesser Antilles should monitor Dolly/what's left of her until she is north of their latitude. I am lowering intensity to 40 knots...expect NHC to do the same at 11:00 AM.
Initial: 40 knots
12 hours: 40 knots
24 hours: 35 knots
36 hours: 35 knots
48 hours: 25 knots
72 hours: dissipated

Other areas of interest:
A mid-level low is located just east of the Bahamas. A surface low may form in this area later today. Slow development may occur over the weekend. Chance of development: 3/10

An area of disturbed weather continues in the NW Caribbean Sea. Thunderstorm activity is pulsing from time to time and is disorganized. No development is expected.

A low in the western Gulf of Mexico has no significant convection at this time, thus, development is not expected as this low moves west.

A new tropical wave has nearly emerged off of the west African Coast. Conditions appear favorable for slow development over the next few days. Chance of development: 4/10

Kevin