Colleen:

Yeah. Convection has been up and down. It's actually coming back a bit now which is different from when I last posted.

ShawnS,

Yeah. I have been waching. 7:30 IR's in the area show a distinct 'bend' to all the clouds. I still don't think the surface low that's moved across the Gulf will end up becoming the center of whatever forms. I was thinking (and I either posted it here or US WW/HH) that the possibility existed for a Tuesday/Wed TS landfall between Galveston and New Iberia. Originally, it looked like the pattern would open up so that there would be somewhat of a blocking position to the north leaving whatever low formed < 100 miles onshore for the first day or so. This now would depend on where it went inland.

It's still hard to say there's definitely going to be classification, but the way heat energy and moisture have been building on in, things have been setting up for development. I haven't looked at the buoys yet. Last check here in town had 29.98 and winds E and NE gusting to 17.

Steve