td 5 is getting westerly shear now, keeping the development in check. convection is less symmetrical but still going on the east side with some vigor.
dolly will probably go too far north to be a threat, unless it gets ripped to shreds and goes well west in the low level flow.
the new emergent system off africa looks nice, convection staying up fairly well. still betting on an invest. bastardi says it will have a better chance of making it west, whatwith the central atlantic trough getting lost.
well, all you gulf folks will like this. the wave passing hispaniola has a good bit of energy far north on its axis.. can see this causing trouble as it passes cuba next couple of days.
thats the basin.
by the way, fausto is back in the centpac. spiffy.
HF navarre, fl 0109z01september