Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Mon Sep 02 2002 10:42 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 5 forms 130 miles ESE of Daytona

Garyb.... looking at the GFDL it suggests that a blocking high will drive the system back to the SW across Florida into the GOM... it strengthens the system significantly, and then it heads off in the general direction of NEW ORLEANS...apparently the trough off to the northeast of the system is not deep enough to pick up the storm ... according to the GFDL

Hey Steve, this model should certainly get your attention!!! Guess we better start looking for a SW drift if this is to occur... regardless I have not much confidence in the GFDL... but who knows...


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