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add another mitigator: subsidence. the upper shortwave has gone by to the north, but the dry air slot following the upper trough is going to choke edouard while shear smears it. there is a lot of subsidence, by the way. even if this doesnt kill edouard outright, will probably push the storm east a good bit. after a day or so things should get better. HF 0207z03september |