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Looking at the latest vis loop I agree with Shawn and Caneman. However, the last few loops indicate that the shear north and west of the system maybe relaxing somewhat. Add to the fact that low pressure systems sometimes develop on the tail end of a frontal system, as what could be happening in the case with this distrubance. And if the disturbed area remains persistant (sometimes it takes days), development is possible if all the other conditions are favorable, even in May... That being said, frontal systems especially this time of the year can start backing up towards the north as a warm front... this could be the only trigger that gets the system moving towards the north IMO.... Several models (AVN and CMC) as Steve posted earlier indicate some type of significant low pressure system off the coast of SC/NC in about 120 hours Models geesh.... sometimes I think models are basically useless unless they come with legs... hehe |