I'm not liking the latest run of the GFDL. Especially since it usually overintensifies a system but is already under currents. I have to say that this forecast seems reasonable, sans intensity forecast. I guess it is possible for a Cat 1 before it hits Florida, especially with the current surprise. Central Florida can do witthout anything that strong. Saturated ground conditions would make for a lot more falling tress then usual, not too mention flooding in areas already doing bad. I'm hoping it keeps up in North Central Florida becuase they need the rain. However, The forecast keeps slipping south. :P