CFHCAdministrator
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Tue Sep 03 2002 02:32 PM
Tuesday Edouard Update

This will be updated during the day as more information on Edouard is made available.
5PM Update
Edouard has weakened a bit more, and jogged south a bit. Tropical Storm Watches are again up North of Titusville.

3PM Update
Edouard has begun its move to the west southwest, slowly. Shear is still taking its toll as much of the convection is away from the center. It is weaker than it was earlier in the day.

11AM Update
Edouard has strengthened to 65MPH. However, no more strengthening is expected today (perhaps even weakening) We'll watch in case this doesn't happen. The Tropical Storm watch may be re-extended southward later today.

10:30AM Update
Currently, Eduoard is forecast to meander a bit more and eventually turn toward the Southwest making landfall Thursday somewhere between Cape Canaveral and Jacksonville and exit into the Gulf of Mexico. This could change, so check back frequently, and of course monitor local media and official sources for information.

This morning Edouard has strengthened a bit, but still it remains under heavy shear. If it manages to escape the jet that would cause the shear then more strengthening is possible. All of us along the East Central and North Florida coast need to monitor it. It could be a rain event for us, or more depending on today and tomorrow.

This run of the GFDL is from this morning and shows one of the possible paths.

If you have a question, an observation, or otherwise anything else helpful for others regarding the situation, please use the comment link and let everyone know.

Melbourne Radar - Long Range
Jacksonville Radar - Long Range

Dolly still is a fish spinner. And another system has emerged off Africa that looks very impressive and will be a long tracker I believe.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [john@flhurricane.com] and - [mike@flhurricane.com]



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