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I think the chances that the NHC could be wrong are always there...predicting a landfalling hurricane is never an exact science and it takes a lot of ingredients to get a good, strong storm together. For instance, if Eduardo was moving north, he would be destroyed by the shear....but he's not. He's moving S/WSW. Anything is possible. The NHC has many weather experts working there; however, just like any other job it is prone to errors because things don't always pan out the way they expect them to..remember Opal? Andrew? There are lots of examples....Mitch is a good one...he just did the "sit and spin" game for I think about 3 years ...LOL....Just keep watching...if you see that the storm is moving a certain way, the NHC will usually wait 2+ advisories before upgrading (unless it's an absolute, like an eye forms) to make sure it wasn't just a hiccup in the storm. It's frustrating, I know...but, whenever things like this happen, we learn once again that weather is as unpredictable as unpredictable can get. ;-) Even worse than women. |