WONT41 KNHC 231525
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2002

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACCOMPANIED BY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN
JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN OCCURRING
OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RECENT SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THIS
SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. SEVERAL
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD AFFECT CUBA...THE
BAHAMAS AND POSSIBLY SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE WEEKEND. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM FRIDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA...THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AND
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FORECASTER STEWART/AVILA