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The weak circulation is centerd near 18.2N and 80.4W movement is near stationary and a drift to the NW is expected later tonight or tomorrow. The lowest pressure is near 1009mb. The center is away from the area of convection as the upper level wind sheer is still strong with the trough to its ENE. As the trough weakens overnight into friday and the low meanders NW it should start to get more established. A recon will be sent possibly to the area on Fri,, hard to see if it will be well defined by then,,but overnight Friday into sat morning it should be well defined as it turns more to the N. In 60hrs it should be near TS strength and SW of Keywest by early morning on Sunday. scottsvb http://communities.msn.com/HURRICANEUPDATECENTER web page |