Interesting to see that the probabilities are slightly increasing for the northern gulf coast in 72 hours out... several days ago Gulfport was at only 2 now its at 10... at the 5pm update probabilities were slightly decreasing towards the east and slighly increasing to the west...

Hey Steve, maybe this one has New Orleans as its target.... still has quite a battle to face with shear and land crossing but hey, could this be the storm the GFDL got right... so far its been relatively close...

the problem with a storm running parallel close to the coast is that it could go inland at any time... so if the system does make it to the GOM and develops... probabilities won't really mean diddily squat.... cause it could strike anywere from PC to NO.. stay tuned gangbecause the excitement in the GOM might be right around the corner...