yeah shawn. lower pressures are down sw of the main convection. system is still oblong and broad, and the upper high is east of the center. in the 8pm twd the boys at nhc mention that the upper high may retrograde over on top of whatever has organized into fay within a couple of days. so basically, if the system keeps meandering offshore, it should eventually stack.. even if the dominant center doesnt start throwing convection and pump the ridge overhead.
edouard persists, sfc pressures around 1010mb by buoy, but winds are weak and radar presentation is poor.
95L.. gustav? could be, if the shear lets up as foretold. if dolly redevelops north then things complicate.
anybody notice how the global 12z runs take that little edouard shadow around the bahamas from the 00z runs and crank it up? not very often you get all three major models all deepening a system that isnt there. pattern wants to pop something there too.. maybe in the diffluence downstream of that mean jet over edouard. all of them have something there by 36hr.. watching.
the weak low south of 95L is weaker yet. mostly nonconvective, ready to forget it.
new pulse off africa has one hell of a well defined rotation. maybe another instant storm. again there is model agreement on this.
alot could be going on this weekend.
HF 0035z06september