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Sat Sep 07 2002 02:10 PM
Fay Dies, TD#7 Forms

Tropical Depression Fay has died out over Texas, and the tropics elsewhere remain active, yet so does shear.

Tropical Depression 7 has formed in the Central Atlantic (fairly far north), and heading northwest. Not a threat to land.

Other areas include a wave in the eastern Atlantic that faces a great deal of shear, nevertheless development is possible.

FInally an area in the southern Bahamas can be considered the most immediate potential headache. It has fairly good potential for development over the next few days, I don't expect this one to move fast. Shear exists in the area too, and lightens up a tiny bit later on this weekend.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.
- [mike@flhurricane.com]