986 mb. just another mb.. still a small center bouncing around inside the main convective envelope. has perhaps tightened the entire circulation just a little, but still broad and atypical. the mini-center did do a tight little cyclonic loop. thinking it will move just east of hatteras late this afternoon... then its on to newfoundland. might behave as michael did in 2000, intensifying rapidly before merging with the extratropical cyclone that will meet it off nova scotia. still probably become a hurricane, though probably not until tonight.
gulf activity looking less chaotic today. 45w wave will maybe spit out a low level circulation to track under the shear.. formed td7 at 25/57 stationary and doing nothing but persisting.
HF 1800z10september