A very intresting looking GOM this evening with widespread showers and thunderstorm activity. TBW radar shows a heavy band of showers and embeded thunderstorms. Don't think this will hold together but...18z models have a swath of rain from tampa south and west into gulf of mexico. AVN may or may not be overdone with development in gulf. Hard to say at this point given the broad area of low pressure. But certainly something to keep a close eye on this week. Shear maps show the area becoming a bit unfavorable for developmet. But given we have seen some weak storms this season in shear would count this out yet. Take it easy Joe