SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
845 PM CDT TUE SEP 10 2002

SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH OUT OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...KEEPING SE TX AND SW LA HIGH AND DRY UNTIL THE WEEKEND.
AT PRESENT...GREATEST CONCERN IS THE GULF. SFC ANALYSIS AND
SATELLITE CONTINUE TO SHOW LOTS OF WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL GULF. SFC
PLOT DEPICTED A 1007 LOW ABOUT 300 TO 350 MILES SOUTH OF CAMERON.
ALSO TALKED TO SAWRS OBSERVER AT KH08. HE SAID THE PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO FALL. SATELLITE...HOWEVER...SHOWS DRIER AIR MOVING INTO
THE AREA TRYING TO KILL CONVECTION. ALL GUIDANCE MODELS HAVE
DIFFERENT SOLUTION AS THE WEEKEND APPROACHES. DO NOT LIKE THE
AVN SCENARIO AT ALL AS STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN BASE OF AN UPPER
TROF. STILL LEANING TOWARDS ETA WHERE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY... OCCURS ACROSS W CNTRL OR SW GULF UNDER 250 MB RIDGE WITH
WEAKER SHEAR.

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
805 PM CDT TUE SEP 10 2002

MAIN FCST CONCERN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL GULF. MODELS DIFFER IN
SOLUTIONS WITH ETA AND LATEST ECMWF TAKING SURFACE LOW TOWARD TEXAS
WHILE AVN TAKES SYSTEM MUCH FURTHER EAST. WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED.

Hey Frank USM got another nice win this past weekend. My REBs will be out here in Texas at Lubbock this weekend, we are going to show them how football is played in the south.... I hope.

Houstontracker