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According to the recon data on the NHC site, the latest Vortex Message shows estimated surface winds at 100 kts / 115 mph. This would make Gustav a Category 3 / Major Hurricane. Will be interesting to see what the 5pm Advisory package says about his strength! As for the GOM, it certainly looks to be trying to develop, but i think NHC should be in there today not tomoroow! Although, if surface obs / satellite / radar show anything they might surprise us with perhaps a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement... Rich B StormWarn2000 |