Boy, looking at the early morning color IRs and IR loops our little tease in the Caribbean is in pretty bad shape.. Shear has pounded the heck out of it during the night. These things go through cycles of strengthening and weaking, and it certainly weakened over the night. Last couple of sat loops give the appearance that some minor convection is trying to build up again but will have a tough time dealing with the shear... Certainly not nearly impressive as yesterday morning... Hey its only May and the jury is still out on this one, however, I'm thinking it just might not do anything... I'll be real suprised if the send recon out today.... just a waste of fuel at the moment... save it for later

Mother Nature.... getting an early start on the season to aggrevate the stew out of us, its probably only going to get worse...