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yeah, your basic vortex message. but theyre kinda iffy sources really.. with gustav they found 100kt flight level winds but never put it up to cat 2. its sort of discretionary.. they could decide to leave it a depression a while longer. i wouldnt. since they started using 'sondes in '97 theyve found that 10% is the normal conversion rate, but only times youll really see that is with a classic well formed hurricane, usually go conservative on weaker or awkward systems. HF 2022z12september |