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look at the visibles on that system in the bay of campeche... its going inland.. but does look to be developing. its near 22/98, not too far east of tampico. low level inflow clouds look banded. want another...? see that hooked low level signature near 24/58, moving west...? that is the wave that has been bursting convection for days NW of 99L. it is going under the amplification off the east coast.. tough for it that it has passed the old upper trough axis behind and all the convergence is east and behind it. still have to see what sets up ahead.. shear isnt too bad if it stays south, and as the old TUTT behind reconfigures the easterlies should come back. 99L is going to rocket by to the south next couple of days.. hard to say what this thing will do if it stays together. HF 1556z13september |