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hurricane graveyard claims another.. for now. this wasnt entirely unexpected.. question now is whether it does get its act back together tomorrow... past 72w. there is a favorable environment as it heads wnw into the western caribbean.. probably will reorganize. the delay placed on it from turning nw by the center opening is going to shift the consensus tracks further west, maybe over to the yucatan now. or possibly it will reform further north where the upper environment is supporting all of that convection..? same as before.. amplification over the states should still turn whatever is down there up.. unless it doesnt redevelop. anyway, tomorrow we get a better idea whether ten is playing possum or really means to cease being a bother. HF 2119z15september |