Kevin
(Weather Master)
Sun Sep 15 2002 10:41 PM
Re: Excellent Analysis!

You're right about that Ed! There has been many, many times in the past where recon is sent out to the wrong location. When they were in TD10 two things may have occured:
1. The new center was developing and they didn't go to that area to investigate it.
2. The old center was very small and they didn't catch it.

The system still looks way too good to be dead...I'm expecting re-development. Pretty sure the NHC is very uncertain right now, but in any event, they seem to be leaning towards regeneration. This one still has the making of a big storm as long as long as it regenerates and slows down some. What is everybody thinking about intensity if it reforms? I'd say a 75-80 knot cane moving through eastern portion of Yucatan Channel sometime Friday. Let's see what NHC does with this one.
Kevin



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