ya know, that swirl (which was definitely low level, the mid level tops from decayed convection were sliding along by it).. was really trucking wnw earlier. the convective burst, which would have started pegged right overhead.. is now probably behind it. it formed around 70w and has apparently stayed there. night really sucks for weak systems.. you just cant tell what theyre doing. ship report earlier near this feature had 30kt SE winds. but right now theres nothing out there to tell whats happening... that was a couple of hours ago.
right now its another case of convective thievery. having convection going away from a tropical system tends to draw its inflow away.. and theres plenty going on over and north of the windward islands. might be starving that little fellow to the south..
well ive been looking at san juan radar, it isnt showing any organization to the convection north of there, in spite of how intense it is. out in the central atlantic near 35/45 there is a bunch of convection supported by an upper trough.. earlier visibles had a small low nearby. might be struggling to get going up there too..
hanna remnants.. hpc track is all over place.. but as far as i can tell the weak surface to mid level system is over north central south carolina moving ene. have to watch it when it gets off hatteras tomorrow for possible hybrid development.
HF 0408z16september