HF, you nailed that one on the head. There is defintely a center around 15.5 and 75, even if it is partially exposed. This system is still in it's developmental stages so the LLC is going to be hard to find and poorly-defined for the next day or two. Still think the poor LLC appearance is due to the shear from the upper-level trough to it's west, which by the way, looks like it may be starting to drift west. Just in time for Td 10 to roll on in.

Troy 2: The AVN model is nothing short of completly whacked and wrong. How the heck is a system that shallow (it showed 1006 mb) going to be recurved? The AVN is off at this time. This system is currently rolling right along west-northwest and should continue to do so for the next day or two. After that, things get interesting.
Kevin