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Not surprised of NHC at all. Without LLCC it cannot upgrade but I do believe its on the verge of becomming a T.S. not a depression. Once this occurs which will be over night we will have Isidore. There is a well pronounced mid level center without a doubt it just has'nt worked down to the surface yet. Thunderstorms are developing around the midlevel center as you read this and if this continues as I believe it will it will be down to the surface soon. Upper level winds are still a bit strong and could be holding this system in check but they will weaken tommorow and this system should start its strengthening stage. As for what happens next Jamaica is in for 40-50mph winds and heavy rain tommorow. Cuba 50-75mph winds Wednesday and Thursday. Thats it for now!!! |