garyb
(Weather Guru)
Tue Sep 17 2002 09:39 AM
Why Not A Test ?

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.

PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN (AL102002) ON 20020917 1200 UTC



...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS...

020917 1200 020918 0000 020918 1200



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 15.9N 76.8W 16.8N 78.4W 17.5N 79.8W

BAMM 15.9N 76.8W 16.8N 78.5W 17.6N 80.0W

A98E 15.9N 76.8W 16.0N 78.5W 16.6N 80.0W

LBAR 15.9N 76.8W 16.6N 78.5W 17.4N 80.0W

SHIP 30KTS 36KTS 45KTS

DSHP 30KTS 36KTS 45KTS



...36 HRS... ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS...

020919 0000 020919 1200 020920 1200



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 18.2N 81.2W 18.8N 82.4W 19.6N 84.1W

BAMM 18.6N 81.4W 19.3N 82.6W 20.5N 84.3W

A98E 17.6N 81.5W 18.5N 82.9W 19.8N 85.7W

LBAR 18.5N 81.3W 19.5N 82.5W 21.3N 84.1W

SHIP 55KTS 64KTS 82KTS

DSHP 55KTS 64KTS 82KTS



...INITIAL CONDITIONS...

LATCUR = 15.9N LONCUR = 76.8W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 8KT

LATM12 = 15.8N LONM12 = 75.3W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 8KT

LATM24 = 15.5N LONM24 = 73.2W

WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 30KT

CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D

RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM