Mike
(Weather Watcher)
Tue Sep 17 2002 10:49 AM
Re: Movine west?

This is from the NWS in Melbourne:

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT THIS MORNING FOUND A CLOSED CIRCULATION IN
THE CLUSTER OF CONVECTION IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SO THE HURRICANE
CENTER WILL RESTART ADVISORIES ON T.D. #10 AT 11 AM. SAT IMAGERY
SHOWS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED
CONSIDERABLY. BY PUTTING MORE DISTANCE BETWEEN ITSELF AND THE UPPER
LOW TO ITS WEST (SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY)...THE T.D. IS
EXPERIENCING LESS UPPER SHEAR WHICH SHOULD ALLOW IT TO STRENGTHEN
FURTHER. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT OUR WEATHER
LATER THIS WEEK.

It will probably 2 more model runs before we can expect any type of accuracy.




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