Don't know if this has been seen by everyone, but here's the latest Recon report I could find....

000
URNT12 KNHC 171749
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 17/1749Z
B. 16 DEG 05 MIN N
77 DEG 26 MIN W
C. NA
D. 40 KT
E. 046 DEG 089 NM
F. 097 DEG 36 KT
G. 046 DEG 089 NM
H. EXTRAP 1008 MB
I. 23 C/ 346 M
J. 24 C/ 358 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 /1
O. 1/8 NM
P. AF866 0510A CYCLONE OB 06
MAX FL WIND 36 KT N QUAD 1717Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.

I realize that the maximum flight winds are in the northern quadrant, however, it appears that it may already be a TS and may be upgraded at 5. IMHO.

K_____G: got your mail...thanks..I tried to respond but could not. The answer to your last question is "yes". :-)