HanKFranK
(User)
Tue Sep 17 2002 11:02 PM
Re: cor

i'm saying it's more likely it will miss the trough entirely and turn west than for the trough to be deep enough to turn it sharply east and only affect south florida.
18z avns have a less dramatic version of nogaps 12z, the system gets to NW cuba and just stalls there for a while, then starts moving wnw. considering avn has the system as a 1008mb low.. and nogaps is only somewhat deeper.. i wouldnt take them that seriously. when the storm is up there friday it will probably be lower than 970mb. the upper trough is more likely to recurve a strong system than a weak one.
HF 2256z17september


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