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A nice ridge has developed, the shear has retreated from the north and from the west...and everything is in place. the LLC is under a mass of heavy convection, the movement is at a good speed....the water temp is perfect....so let's ask ourselves...any reason NOT to expect a major cane out of this?.....i don';t think so...and i am now quite convinced it will hit hard. Interestingly...when they are super strong..like Gilbert or Hugo...they tend to bee-line...kinda go in a more straight path than anything else....so if this thing blows up into a heavy...look for a fairly predictable straight path or natural curve.. Mobile...cat 5, 210 MPH winds....well, maybe not...but it will definitely be keeping all of us on our seats... Insurance paid up? |