Thanks for HankFrank for the buzzphrase of the day "Forecasting Nightmare Deluxe", which describes exactly what's going on with Isidore. Especially on the intensity side.

Josephine and Isidore have formed, Isidore in the Caribbean from tropical depression ten, and Josephine from tropical depression eleven in the middle of the Atlantic. Josephine will twirl red snappers, while the Isidore looks like it will be clipping the western tip of Cuba and entering into the gulf. (As of now anyway) . The big wildcard is intensity, and I fear that once (and if) Isidore starts to strengthen it will do so rapidly. Which, with current models, places it in the central Gulf, and anyones guess as to where it may wind up. This is the forecasting nightmare deluxe that we speak of.

Apologies once again as I have been away most of the week and the remainder of it. John has been writing the previous few updates and probably the next few. It will be the weekend before I'm back around.

Anyone in the gulf will want to watch Isidore. .

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]