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Timing is everything....absolutely. Interesting that he seems to have a more northerly component during the last 3 hours, more like 320/325...could be temporary, but there seems to be a weakness to the north where it's bulging as it gets organized. Let's see if it stays east of Grand Cayman. If the weakness is to the north (as some of the flow seems to indicate) it may allow him to increase forward speed for a while. All playing into the factor of the timing issue. I wouldn't say the "only chance" for Flrida landfall is if this NNW motion continues; we just don't know that yet Scott. There are many variables. That's not to say Florida is the target, but we don't know the strength of the trough progged to come in over the weekend, and the effect it will have on Isidore with the SW flow ahead of it. This will change 10 times before Friday. I do fear if it goes further north quicker and does target SW Florida, that the notice may to too late to Evacuate if it's a major storm. nail biting time here. Cheers!! Steve H. |