I just took a peek at all of the models....at the moment, not a single one has the storm curving into Florida...one takes it up the west coast of Florida, but far enough away so as not to raise alarm....and one takes it directly onshore east of New Orleans, as a very scary storm....but the rest either leave it in the southern GoMex, or take it into the Yucatan, which is what NoGaps and UKMet do. My question: How often is new data put into these models? As a relatively new person to the models, how much do they change with new data? Seems to me there is quite a divergence on the model runs, but that south florida may be spared. Indeed, I read a report that no flood watches are going to be posted anytime soon, and the original fears of 30 inches of water from this system are dissipating.