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A little surprised to not see much of a northward adjustment of the forecast track with the center reformation. However, that was a good 5 p.m. discussion and it seems that NHC has a fair handle on this storm. I'm thinking the storm will landfall Cuba a bit further east of the current forecast track and be somewhat NE of the 72 hour prediction. Basing this on the belief that the storm will intensify more rapidly than forecast and thus move a bit more poleward in that timeframe. After that, I'm not willing to speculate just yet... |