Well, Until I see something matching the forecast, I moving into "show me the vector" mode. This is starting to remind me of the system a couple of years ago across that went across South Florida even though the models said it wouldn't. Until I see that definate motion more NW, I am not buying the decreasing threat to South and Central Florida in the discussion. I'm skeptical of the comment on the AVN. I have yet to see a model forecast a reformation of a center. Plus, I hate it when they say that recon can't find the center very well. There are too many odd things going on here for me to put a lot of faith in this latest advisory. Show me the vector! When Izzy starts to hit it, I will start believing. Until then, I am a skeptic.