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Perhaps, but let's not jump the gun quite yet....if the AVN, ECMWF, UKMET and NOGAPS start doing the same thing, then that is homing in...this is just one run of a model...it has done well in the past, and horribily on other occasions as well. It simply is another piece of data to look at and evaluate. What we want to look at for the next 2 days or so is not the exact solutions as much as the general trend of all the guidance...is it more east? West? Slower? Faster? and, most importantly, does it look reasonable and jive with what we KNOW is going on currently (what we can direct observe and measure)? |