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WHXX01 KWBC 190016 CHGHUR DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE (AL102002) ON 20020919 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... 020919 0000 020919 1200 020920 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 19.4N 79.2W 20.5N 80.5W 21.6N 81.6W BAMM 19.4N 79.2W 21.0N 80.7W 22.5N 82.1W A98E 19.4N 79.2W 20.6N 80.1W 21.6N 81.0W LBAR 19.4N 79.2W 20.6N 80.3W 21.6N 81.5W SHIP 50KTS 57KTS 63KTS DSHP 50KTS 57KTS 63KTS ...36 HRS... ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... 020920 1200 020921 0000 020922 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 22.5N 82.7W 23.3N 83.5W 24.6N 85.1W BAMM 23.8N 83.5W 24.8N 84.5W 26.2N 86.7W A98E 22.4N 81.6W 22.9N 82.3W 23.8N 84.2W LBAR 22.6N 82.5W 23.3N 83.1W 23.8N 83.2W SHIP 68KTS 76KTS 85KTS DSHP 49KTS 62KTS 72KTS http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/02091900 You extrapolate this model data and one thing is very evident... the system is basically moving towards the NW. (one has it moving NNW) .. and if it is a very large system as predicted, with significant inertia involved, there may not be anything in the near future that will turn it one way or another... which at the present time does not bode well for the north and north east gulf coast...in addition it going to have to speed up quite a bit to get there from here.... |