Jason,

I know you are one of the professionals that tend to look out the window and while considering the models as input, also tend to observe the facts .... so, here is the 64 dollar question:..

After considering everything you now know, what is your opinion as to who is the most at risk from this storm? Do you feel the trough will be strong enough and South enough to deflect the storm to the right, or will it simply cause a stall and encourage a CGOM landfall later as a much stronger storm?

Thanks for your considered input.