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Shawn, it is entirely possible that Izzy could end up in the west GOM. If the AVN solution is realized a pressing ridge building down from Montana could force him westward. It's still not October and storms certainly go west to that portion of the GOM. But since it's currently in the area near Cuba and the Keys, the people here are getting excited. I don't dispute that landfall could happen in the western GOM. It is one of the scenarios that should be considered. Unfortunately, the models that take it W or SW don't go out that far to show the end result on the coast. Right now the SE GOM meandering seems likely. We have time to watch as the storm moves in another direction. BTW, Izzy was moving north for a bit, more like a stairstep, but near due north just the same. Now he is back to 300degrees. Cheers!! Steve H. |